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Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 251603
TWOAT 

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1205 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Subtropical Storm Alberto, located over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea just east of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on 1
June.

&&

Public Advisories on Alberto are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Alberto are issued under WMO header WTNT21
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

Summary for Subtropical Storm Alberto (AT1/AL012018)

...CENTER OF ALBERTO REFORMS A LITTLE TO THE NORTHEAST... ...HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER FLORIDA...
 As of 11:00 PM EDT Sat May 26
 the center of Alberto was located near 23.9, -84.6
 with movement NNE at 13 mph.
 The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb
 with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Subtropical Storm Alberto Public Advisory Number 7

Issued at 1100 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018  

000
WTNT31 KNHC 270256
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Alberto Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012018
1100 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

...CENTER OF ALBERTO REFORMS A LITTLE TO THE NORTHEAST...
...HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.9N 84.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM WSW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
ABOUT 400 MI...645 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Watch has been discontinued west of the
Mississippi/Alabama border.

The Government of Cuba has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning
for Pinar del Rio.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Crystal River to the Mississippi/Alabama border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Dry Tortugas
* Bonita Beach to Anclote River
* Aucilla River to the Mississippi/Alabama border

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Mississippi/Alabama border to the Mouth of the Pearl River

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible in the United States portion of that watch area within
48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Alberto
was located near latitude 23.9 North, longitude 84.6 West. The storm
is moving generally toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20
km/h).  A turn toward the north is expected later tonight, and a
motion toward the north-northwest is expected Sunday through Monday
night. On the forecast track, the center of Alberto will cross the
eastern and northern Gulf of Mexico through Monday, then move near
or over the northern coast of the Gulf of Mexico in the warning area
late Monday afternoon or Monday night.  Heavy rainfall and tropical
storm conditions will likely reach the northern Gulf Coast well
before the arrival of the center of Alberto.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast until the system reaches the
northern Gulf Coast on Monday.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) mainly to
the east of the center.  The NOAA automated station at Pulaski
Shoals, Florida recently reported sustained winds of 38 mph
(61 km/h) and a wind gust of 44 mph (70 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure from Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Alberto is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 10 to 15 inches with isolated totals of 25 inches across western
Cuba.  These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides.  Rainfall accumulations of 3 to 7 inches with maximum
amounts of 10 inches are possible across the Florida Keys and
southern Florida.  Heavy rains will begin to affect the eastern Gulf
Coast region into the southeastern United States on Sunday and
continue into the middle of next week as Alberto moves northward
after landfall.  Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches with maximum
amounts of 15 inches are possible along the track of Alberto from
much of Alabama and the Florida Panhandle into western Tennessee.
Rainfall totals of 3 to 5 inches with maximum totals of 8 inches
are possible across eastern Mississippi and from the southern
Appalachians into the coastal southeast United States.

WIND:  Tropical Storm conditions are expected in the Dry Tortugas
and in the warning area along the west coast of Florida beginning
later tonight and Sunday.  Tropical Storm conditions are expected
within the warning area along the northern Gulf Coast by Sunday
night. Tropical Storm conditions are possible in the watch area
along the northern Gulf Coast by Monday.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Crystal River to the Mississippi/Alabama border...2 to 4 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast. Surge-
related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.  For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

TORNADOES:  Isolated tornadoes are possible tonight across the Keys
and south Florida tonight, and across all of the state on Sunday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Alberto are expected to spread northward
along the eastern and northern Gulf Coast through Monday.  These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. For more information, consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Subtropical Storm Alberto Forecast Advisory Number 7

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN MAY 27 2018  

000
WTNT21 KNHC 270256
TCMAT1

SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012018
0300 UTC SUN MAY 27 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR PINAR DEL RIO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CRYSTAL RIVER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DRY TORTUGAS
* BONITA BEACH TO ANCLOTE RIVER
* AUCILLA RIVER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE UNITED STATES PORTION OF THAT WATCH AREA WITHIN
48 HOURS.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N  84.6W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N  84.6W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  84.8W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 25.9N  84.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 27.7N  85.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 28.9N  86.4W...TROPICAL STORM
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 30.4N  86.8W...TROPICAL STORM
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE  80SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 34.5N  87.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 39.0N  86.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 42.5N  82.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N  84.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Subtropical Storm Alberto Forecast Discussion Number 7

Issued at 1100 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018  

000
WTNT41 KNHC 270256
TCDAT1

Subtropical Storm Alberto Discussion Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012018
1100 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

During the past few hours, a burst of convection has formed just
north of the low-level center of Alberto, which has caused the
center to reform somewhat to the northeast of the previous position.
Despite an overall increase in organization, however, reports from
an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft are at best
ambiguous on whether the storm has strengthened.  The maximum
flight-level winds at 925 mb were 45 kt, which would support 30-35
kt at the surface.  The maximum SFMR winds outside of the
convective burst were 35-37 kt, but since these were higher than
the associated flight-level winds it is unclear how reliable they
were.  In the convection, there were SFMR winds up to near 60 kt
which may be due to downbursts and thus are unrepresentative of the
strength of the storm.  Finally, the central pressure has not fallen
since the previous mission and is near 1001 mb.  The initial
intensity will remain 35 kt, but this could be conservative.

In the next 24 h, Alberto should intensify as a subtropical storm
due to the influence of a negative-tilt upper-level trough just
west of the cyclone.  After that time, the trough is forecast to
become a cutoff upper-level low, with the center of Alberto near or
just north of the low in an area of lighter shear.  This evolution
should allow the cyclone to develop a deeper warm core and become
more symmetric, and this in turn should lead to Alberto
transitioning from a subtropical to a tropical storm by 36-48 h.
There is little intensity guidance that makes Alberto a hurricane
before landfall, so the new intensity forecast keeps the same 55 kt
peak and landfall intensities as the previous forecast.  After
landfall on the northern Gulf Coast, Alberto should steadily weaken
over land through the remainder of the forecast period.

For the next 12 h or so, Alberto should move generally northward,
although some additional eastward reformation of the center remains
possible.  From 12-48 h, the cyclone should move
north-northwestward as it merges with the upper-level low.  This
should be followed by a northward motion across the southeastern
United States from 48-96 h and a subsequent recurvature into the
westerlies.  The forecast guidance is in good agreement, and the
new forecast track is nudged just a little to the east of the
previous track.  On the current forecast track, Alberto would make
landfall near the 48 h point.


KEY MESSAGES:

1. Regardless of its exact track and intensity, Alberto is expected
to produce heavy rainfall and flash flooding over western Cuba,
southern Florida and the Florida Keys. Heavy rainfall and flooding
potential will expand to include much of the central U.S. Gulf Coast
region and portions of the southeastern United States beginning
Sunday and will continue into next week.

2.  Hazardous storm surge is possible along portions of the central
and eastern Gulf Coast beginning on Sunday, including areas well
east of the track of Alberto's center. Residents in the storm surge
watch area are encouraged to follow any guidance given by their
local government officials.

3. Tropical storm conditions are likely within of the tropical storm
warning area along the Florida west coast on Sunday and within the
warning area along the northern Gulf Coast beginning Sunday night.

4. Dangerous surf and rip current conditions will likely spread
northward along the eastern and northern Gulf Coast through Monday.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  27/0300Z 23.9N  84.6W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  27/1200Z 25.9N  84.6W   45 KT  50 MPH
 24H  28/0000Z 27.7N  85.6W   50 KT  60 MPH
 36H  28/1200Z 28.9N  86.4W   55 KT  65 MPH...TROPICAL STORM
 48H  29/0000Z 30.4N  86.8W   55 KT  65 MPH...TROPICAL STORM
 72H  30/0000Z 34.5N  87.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 96H  31/0000Z 39.0N  86.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...INLAND
120H  01/0000Z 42.5N  82.0W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
Forecaster Beven

Subtropical Storm Alberto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN MAY 27 2018                                              

000
FONT11 KNHC 270256
PWSAT1
                                                                    
SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012018               
0300 UTC SUN MAY 27 2018                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ATLANTA GA     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   6(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
KINGS BAY GA   34  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
WAYCROSS GA    34  X   5( 5)   5(10)   3(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   6( 6)   3( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
GAINESVILLE FL 34  2  12(14)   5(19)   2(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  2   5( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
THE VILLAGES   34  4  11(15)   4(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  5   6(11)   2(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
FT LAUDERDALE  34  3   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MIAMI FL       34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HOMESTEAD ARB  34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MARATHON FL    34  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
KEY WEST FL    34 11   1(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
NAPLES FL      34 23   3(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
FT MYERS FL    34 25   4(29)   1(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
VENICE FL      34 36  10(46)   1(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 
TAMPA FL       34 15  20(35)   3(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  4  24(28)   8(36)   1(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  1  16(17)  19(36)   6(42)   2(44)   X(44)   X(44)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  1  21(22)  17(39)   5(44)   2(46)   X(46)   X(46)
ST MARKS FL    50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  1  37(38)  25(63)   4(67)   1(68)   X(68)   X(68)
APALACHICOLA   50  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
APALACHICOLA   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  2  59(61)  16(77)   2(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
GFMX 290N 850W 50  X   6( 6)  10(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
GFMX 290N 850W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  X  28(28)  32(60)   8(68)   2(70)   X(70)   X(70)
PANAMA CITY FL 50  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   7(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
PANAMA CITY FL 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34  X  15(15)  35(50)  14(64)   4(68)   X(68)   X(68)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50  X   X( X)   9( 9)  10(19)   2(21)   X(21)   X(21)
DESTIN EXEC AP 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  X   2( 2)   8(10)   9(19)   5(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
BIRMINGHAM AL  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)  15(25)   X(25)   X(25)
BIRMINGHAM AL  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   2( 2)  11(13)  13(26)  11(37)   X(37)   X(37)
MONTGOMERY AL  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
MONTGOMERY AL  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34  X   8( 8)  32(40)  16(56)   5(61)   X(61)   X(61)
WHITING FLD FL 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   3(17)   X(17)   X(17)
WHITING FLD FL 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  X   9( 9)  33(42)  17(59)   4(63)   X(63)   X(63)
PENSACOLA FL   50  X   X( X)   6( 6)  10(16)   3(19)   X(19)   X(19)
PENSACOLA FL   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34  X  30(30)  36(66)   7(73)   2(75)   X(75)   X(75)
GFMX 290N 870W 50  X   3( 3)  21(24)   6(30)   2(32)   X(32)   X(32)
GFMX 290N 870W 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MOBILE AL      34  X   3( 3)  21(24)  15(39)   5(44)   1(45)   X(45)
MOBILE AL      50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)
MOBILE AL      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  X   3( 3)  14(17)  11(28)   4(32)   1(33)   X(33)
GULFPORT MS    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
GULFPORT MS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
STENNIS MS     34  X   2( 2)  11(13)   9(22)   3(25)   X(25)   X(25)
STENNIS MS     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BURAS LA       34  X   3( 3)  11(14)   7(21)   2(23)   1(24)   X(24)
BURAS LA       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   4( 4)  14(18)   4(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JACKSON MS     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   7(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   5(13)   3(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HAVANA         34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN

Subtropical Storm Alberto Graphics

Subtropical Storm Alberto 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 27 May 2018 02:57:41 GMT

Subtropical Storm Alberto 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 27 May 2018 02:57:41 GMT

Subtropical Storm Alberto Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map

Subtropical Storm Alberto Link to Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Sat, 26 May 2018 22:24:42 GMT

Subtropical Storm Alberto Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map

Subtropical Storm Alberto Link to Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Sun, 27 May 2018 02:59:51 GMT

Local Statement for Mobile, AL / Pensacola, FL

Issued at  424 PM CDT Sat May 26 2018

Local Statement for Tallahassee, FL

Issued at  526 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018 /426 PM CDT Sat May 26 2018/

Local Statement for Tampa Bay Area, FL

Issued at  532 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

Local Statement for New Orleans / Baton Rouge, LA

Issued at  717 PM CDT Sat May 26 2018

 

Eastern Pacific

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 262311
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat May 26 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Landsea

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 27 May 2018 02:57:55 GMT
deformed-offering