Tropical Sea Temperatures
Current US IR Satellite Loop
Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean
000
ABNT20 KNHC 111142
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Tropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity is currently limited in association
with an area of low pressure located about 500 miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to
become more conducive for development during the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression will likely form during the latter
half of this week while the system moves westward to
west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
East of the Windward Islands:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical
wave are located about 600 miles east of the Windward Islands. The
system is expected to encounter a large area of environmental dry
air as it approaches the Windward Islands, and development is not
expected. Locally heavy rains and gusty winds will be possible in
the Lesser Antilles during the next couple of days as the
disturbance moves through the area.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles northeast of
Bermuda is producing showers and thunderstorms. Some development of
this system is possible during the next day or so while it moves
eastward at around 20 mph across the central subtropical Atlantic.
The system is forecast to reach cooler waters later this week,
ending its chances of formation by Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Pasch
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 11 Aug 2026 15:14:49 GMT
Eastern Pacific
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 111139
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Aug 11 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Central Pacific (CP93):
Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a
broad area of low pressure located about 1100 miles east-southeast
of the Hawaiian Islands that is nearly stationary. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and
a tropical depression or storm is expected to form during the next
couple of days while the system begins moving generally
northwestward across the Central Pacific. Interests in the
Hawaiian Islands should closely monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Western East Pacific:
A large area of disorganized showers is located well to the
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual
development, and a tropical depression could form during the next
few days while the system moves slowly northwestward across the
western portion of the East Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch/Pierce
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 11 Aug 2026 15:14:49 GMT
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