SPC MD 1850

MD 1850 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 548... FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
        
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Mesoscale Discussion 1850
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0213 PM CDT Fri Sep 30 2022

Areas affected...Eastern North Carolina.

Concerning...Tornado Watch 548...

Valid 301913Z - 302115Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 548 continues.

SUMMARY...The tornado threat has shifted north across eastern North
Carolina.

DISCUSSION...Deeper, cellular convection on the northern/eastern
periphery of Hurricane Ian's circulation has shifted farther north
along the North Carolina coast. A tornado or two remains possible
across portions of southeast North Carolina, but the primary threat
has now shifted to east-central North Carolina. 70+ degree surface
dewpoints have now advanced around 1 county inland and are expected
to advance further inland as Ian continues to move west. At least
one tornado and one waterspout have been reported thus far with
additional rotating storms still present. 

Low-level streamwise vorticity has lessened over the past few hours
at the KLTX and more recently from the KMHX VWP. Therefore, expect
the primary tornado threat to be north of Morehead City where the
more favorable wind profile and deeper convection is located.

..Bentley.. 09/30/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...

LAT...LON   34417657 35257757 36207674 36687595 36517548 35977522
            35307524 35007539 34607598 34417657 

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