Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 182329
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northern Gulf of America and near Florida (AL91):
Satellite images and surface observations indicate that a broad 
surface low is located over the eastern Gulf of America.  The 
associated winds are currently light, and the shower and 
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized.  However, gradual 
development of this system is possible, and it could become a 
tropical depression while it moves slowly northward or 
north-northwestward during the next few days.  Interests along the 
Florida Gulf coast, southern Alabama, and southwestern Georgia 
should monitor the progress of this system as it is expected to 
bring heavy rain to portions of that region during the next several 
days.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to 
investigate the system on Sunday, if needed.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 19 Jul 2026 03:06:10 GMT

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

299 
ABPZ20 KNHC 182328
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Jul 18 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Elida, located well west of the southern tip of the Baja 
California Peninsula.

Central East Pacific (EP97):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the coast 
of southwestern Mexico are becoming better organized. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for continued development of this 
system, and a tropical depression is expected to form tonight or on 
Sunday while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the 
central portion of the eastern Pacific. For additional information 
on this system, including storm warnings, please see High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Eastern and Central East Pacific:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop well south of 
Mexico during the middle to latter part of next week. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for development thereafter, and a 
tropical depression could form while it moves westward to 
west-northwestward across the eastern and central portions of the 
eastern Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

$$
Forecaster Gibbs

Summary for Tropical Depression Six-E (EP1/EP062026)

...SIXTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE EAST PACIFIC SEASON FORMS WELL SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... ...FORECAST TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN... As of 8:00 PM MST Sat Jul 18 the center of Six-E was located near 11.3, -109.1 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tropical Depression Six-E Public Advisory Number 1

Issued at 800 PM MST Sat Jul 18 2026 320 
WTPZ31 KNHC 190233
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Six-E Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062026
800 PM MST Sat Jul 18 2026
 
...SIXTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE EAST PACIFIC SEASON FORMS WELL
SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
...FORECAST TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.3N 109.1W
ABOUT 805 MI...1290 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six-E
was located near latitude 11.3 North, longitude 109.1 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 
km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 
two to three days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the next few days. 
The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on Sunday and 
become a hurricane by Monday night or Tuesday.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven

Tropical Depression Six-E Forecast Advisory Number 1

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026 000
WTPZ21 KNHC 190232
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062026
0300 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 109.1W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 109.1W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 108.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 11.9N 110.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.6N 112.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 13.4N 114.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 14.6N 116.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.4N 117.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.0N 119.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 16.7N 122.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 17.5N 127.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 109.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Tropical Depression Six-E Forecast Discussion Number 1

Issued at 800 PM MST Sat Jul 18 2026 000
WTPZ41 KNHC 190233
TCDEP1
 
Tropical Depression Six-E Discussion Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062026
800 PM MST Sat Jul 18 2026
 
Satellite imagery and scatterometer data indicate that the low 
pressure area well south of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula now has a well-defined circulation and sufficient 
organized convection to be designated a tropical depression. Thus, 
advisories are being initiated on Tropical Depression Six-E. The 
initial intensity is set at 30 kt based on a combination of the 
earlier scatterometer data and a satellite intensity estimate from 
TAFB.

The initial motion is 290/10 kt.  The depression is on the south 
side of a mid-level ridge that extends westward from northwestern 
Mexico. This feature should steer the cyclone generally 
west-northwestward for the next three days or so, followed by a 
more westward motion as the ridge builds westward. The track 
guidance is in good agreement with this scenario, although the HWRF 
and HMON show a more westward track than the other models after 36 
h. The track forecast is near the center of the guidance envelope.
 
The scatterometer data suggested that the depression's radius of 
maximum wind is 70-100 n mi, and it may take some time for this 
to contract or for the cyclone to form a new inner wind core. 
Once the system gets better organized, though, the environment is 
favorable for steady to rapid strengthening, particularly after 24 
h. The intensity forecast calls for the system to strengthen to 80 
kt by 60 h, and this is at the lower edge of the intensity 
guidance. The forecast 95-kt peak intensity is more in the middle of 
the guidance envelope, but there are several models calling for the 
system to become a major hurricane at 72-96 h. Slow weakening is 
expected to start by 120 h since the forecast track takes the 
cyclone over cooler sea surface temperatures.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  19/0300Z 11.3N 109.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  19/1200Z 11.9N 110.7W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  20/0000Z 12.6N 112.9W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  20/1200Z 13.4N 114.7W   55 KT  65 MPH
 48H  21/0000Z 14.6N 116.4W   65 KT  75 MPH
 60H  21/1200Z 15.4N 117.9W   80 KT  90 MPH
 72H  22/0000Z 16.0N 119.4W   95 KT 110 MPH
 96H  23/0000Z 16.7N 122.8W   95 KT 110 MPH
120H  24/0000Z 17.5N 127.0W   90 KT 105 MPH
 
$$
Forecaster Beven

Tropical Depression Six-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026 368 
FOPZ11 KNHC 190233
PWSEP1
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062026               
0300 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 115W       34  X   X( X)  13(13)  35(48)   3(51)   1(52)   X(52)
15N 115W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)
15N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
15N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  37(37)   9(46)   1(47)
15N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   7(17)   X(17)
15N 120W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   X( 8)
 
20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
15N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  15(26)
15N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
15N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  18(24)
20N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
20N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
20N 130W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN

Tropical Depression Six-E Graphics

Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 19 Jul 2026 02:36:31 GMT

Summary for Tropical Storm Elida (EP5/EP052026)

...ELIDA WEAKENS SLIGHTLY... As of 8:00 PM PDT Sat Jul 18 the center of Elida was located near 20.6, -124.8 with movement NNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 993 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

Tropical Storm Elida Public Advisory Number 18

Issued at 800 PM PDT Sat Jul 18 2026 146 
WTPZ35 KNHC 190232
TCPEP5
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Elida Advisory Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052026
800 PM PDT Sat Jul 18 2026
 
...ELIDA WEAKENS SLIGHTLY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 124.8W
ABOUT 970 MI...1560 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elida was
located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 124.8 West. Elida is
moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A gradual 
increase in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days 
as the system turns northward. 
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Steady weakening is expected during the next 
couple of days as Elida moves over progressively cooler waters. 
Elida is forecast to become a remnant low by early Tuesday and 
dissipate by late Wednesday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Elida will affect portions of the west
coast of the Baja California Peninsula and southern California
through early next week. These swells will likely result in
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)

Tropical Storm Elida Forecast Advisory Number 18

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026 145 
WTPZ25 KNHC 190232
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052026
0300 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 124.8W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 150SE  60SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 124.8W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 124.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.9N 125.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.0N 126.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 26.4N 127.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 29.0N 127.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 31.4N 127.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 33.9N 127.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 124.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)

Tropical Storm Elida Forecast Discussion Number 18

Issued at 800 PM PDT Sat Jul 18 2026 000
WTPZ45 KNHC 190235
TCDEP5
 
Tropical Storm Elida Discussion Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052026
800 PM PDT Sat Jul 18 2026
 
Satellite imagery indicates that Elida is beginning to lose 
organization as it moves northward over sea surface temperatures 
below 26 degrees C. Deep convection has become concentrated over the 
southern semicircle, with warming cloud tops and diminishing 
convection north of the center. The latest subjective Dvorak 
intensity estimate from TAFB is T3.5/55 kt, in good agreement with 
the latest objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS. Based on the 
degraded satellite presentation and these intensity estimates, the 
initial intensity has been lowered to 55 kt. 

The initial motion is north-northwestward, or 330/11 kt. Elida is 
forecast to continue turning northward while gradually accelerating 
during the next couple of days as it becomes increasingly steered by 
a deep-layer trough off the California coast. The track guidance 
remains in good agreement, and only minor adjustments to the 
previous NHC forecast were required. 

Elida is beginning to move over sea-surface temperatures near 25 
degrees C and will encounter progressively cooler waters during the 
next couple of days. In addition, increasing southwesterly vertical 
wind shear and drier mid-level air will lead to a steady weakening 
trend. Elida is forecast to lose its deep convection and become a 
remnant low in about 60 h. The remnant low should dissipate by day 4 
well west of the California coast.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  19/0300Z 20.6N 124.8W   55 KT  65 MPH
 12H  19/1200Z 21.9N 125.7W   55 KT  65 MPH
 24H  20/0000Z 24.0N 126.6W   50 KT  60 MPH
 36H  20/1200Z 26.4N 127.3W   45 KT  50 MPH
 48H  21/0000Z 29.0N 127.7W   35 KT  40 MPH
 60H  21/1200Z 31.4N 127.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  22/0000Z 33.9N 127.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)

Tropical Storm Elida Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026 367 
FOPZ15 KNHC 190233
PWSEP5
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052026               
0300 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 125W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 125W       50  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
25N 125W       34  1  23(24)   5(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 
30N 125W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)

Tropical Storm Elida Graphics

Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 19 Jul 2026 02:36:19 GMT